Padres vs Rockies Prediction - MLB Picks 7/31/23

Colorado Rockies (41-64) vs San Diego Padres (52-54)

Game Info: Monday, July 31, 2023 at 8:40 pm (Coors Field)

Austin Gomber (8-8) (5.83) vs Seth Lugo (4-5) (3.62)

Betting Odds: Colorado Rockies +180 / San Diego Padres -210 --- Over/Under: 12 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The San Diego Padres will play the Colorado Rockies in Game 1 of their series on Monday night at Coors Field in Denver, Colorado. San Diego is coming off of one of their best series of the year, while Colorado just lost a series to one of the worst teams in baseball. 

Padres Preview

The San Diego Padres are 52-54 this season and they have won four of their last five Games. San Diego is coming off of a series win against Texas, where they won all three Games in the series. San Diego pitched very well against the highest scoring team in the MLB, only allowing a total of four runs in the series. The San Diego pitching staff has a 3.70 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average this season. The Padres offense has scored 481 runs with a .238 batting average and a .327 on base percentage. Juan Soto is batting .268 with 20 home runs and 64 RBI’s for the Padres. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Seth Lugo, who is 4-5 with a 3.62 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 82.0 innings pitched this year. 

Rockies Preview

The Colorado Rockies are 41-64 this season and they have lost five of their last seven Games. Colorado is coming off of a series loss to Oakland at home, where they lost two out of three Game. Colorado was out scored by a total of 19-10 and really struggled to score against the worst team ERA in the MLB. The Colorado pitching staff has a 5.48 ERA, a 1.51 WHIP, and a .280 opponent batting average. The Rockies offense has scored 457 runs with a .254 batting average and a .314 on base percentage this year. Elias Diaz is batting .273 with 10 home runs and 48 RBI’s for the Rockies. The projected starting pitcher for Colorado is Austin Gomber, who is 8-8 with a 5.83 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP over 108.0 innings pitched this season.

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Matchup/League Facts

The San Diego Padres ranks 1st in the league for walks this season (442).

The San Diego Padres ranks 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.70).

The Colorado Rockies ranks 4th in the league for doubles this season (199).

The Colorado Rockies ranks 12th in the league for batting average this season (.254).

Pick

The Padres have to be feeling great after sweeping the Texas Rangers over the weekend and they should have another series win here. San Diego is five games out of a Wild Card berth, so they need to stay hot and rack up wins quickly. The Padres are starting Seth Lugo, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Colorado is starting Austin Gomber, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Gomber has really turned it around in recent starts, but his ERA is still atrocious. I think the Padres are going to continue their momentum in this series and it will start with a big win in Game 1. 

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