Marlins vs Reds Prediction - MLB Picks 8/8/23

Cincinnati Reds (60-55) vs Miami Marlins (58-56)

Game Info: Tuesday, August 8, 2023 at 6:40 pm (Great American Ball Park)

Luke Weaver (2-4) (6.98) vs Braxton Garrett (5-3) (4.14)

Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds +114 / Miami Marlins -135 --- Over/Under: 10.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Miami Marlins will play the Cincinnati Reds in Game 2 of their series on Tuesday night at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. The Reds won Game 1 in this series by a score of 5-2, but both of these teams have struggled over the past few weeks. 

Reds Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 60-55 this season and they have lost six of their last seven Games. Prior to winning the first Game in this series, Cincinnati lost all three of their Games at home against Washington. The Reds have had major issues with their pitching staff, as they have allowed at least five runs in seven of their last eight Games. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 4.85 ERA, a 1.43 WHIP, and a .262 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 558 runs with a .250 batting average and a .328 on base percentage this season. TJ Friedl is batting .284 with 10 home runs and 44 RBI’s for the Reds. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Luke Weaver, who is 2-4 with a 6.98 ERA and a 1.64 WHIP over 89.0 innings pitched this year. 

Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins are 58-56 this season and they have lost five Games in a row. Miami came into this series after getting swept by the Rangers, where they were out scored by a total of 21-10. The Marlins have also had some issues with their pitching staff, allowing at least five runs in four straight Games and five of their last six. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.18 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .244 opponent batting average this season. The Marlins offense has scored 462 runs with a .263 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Jorge Soler is batting .241 with 27 home runs and 60 RBI’s for the Marlins. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Braxton Garrett, who is 5-3 with a 4.14 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 111.0 innings pitched this season. 

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Matchup/League Facts

The Cincinnati Reds ranks 1st in the league for steals this season (127).

The Cincinnati Reds ranks T4th in the league for triples this season (21).

The Miami Marlins ranks T2nd in the league for hits this season (1015).

The Miami Marlins ranks 3rd in the league for batting average this season (.264).

Pick

The Reds were able to get a big win on Monday night and they snapped their six Game losing streak in the process. Miami has now lost five Games in a row and they are dropping very quickly in the NL Wild Card standings. Miami is starting Braxton Garrett, who has allowed 3, 0, 6, 4, and 3 earned runs in his last five starts. Cincinnati is starting Luke Weaver, who has allowed 4, 1, 3, 4, and 5 earned runs in his last five outings. I expect this Game to be high scoring, as neither pitcher has been very good, but I am taking the Reds at home here. Both of these teams have struggled lately, but I trust the Cincinnati offense a lot more than I trust Miami’s. Take the Reds to get the win. 

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